Daily Update


Daily Update

Fed speakers continue to leave open the door to raising rates three more times this year if the data starts to accelerate. The US economy continues to perform well, although questions remain over Europe and the UK, which has been the main driver of the USD recently. It will, therefore, be interesting to hear whether […]

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All doom and gloom for Sterling

British Industrial growth slightly rose in March, therefore confirming a gloomy first quarter for the economy that pretty much confirms no Bank of England interest rate hike later today. The data, released along with figures for the construction industry and overseas trade, did nothing to alter the picture of an economy that has struggled for […]

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Sterling continues poor run

Market probability of a rate hike from the Bank of England next week has dropped to less than a tenth from more than 90 percent a month ago. Weak survey data from Britain’s services sector for April rounded off a disappointing streak of economic figures starting with last week’s shock first quarter GDP data and […]

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ECB Meeting Today

The main economic event today is the ECB policy announcement at 12:45BST, followed by the press conference with President Mario Draghi at 13:30BST. No changes to interest rates or the asset purchase programme (€30bn/month) are expected. At the last meeting in March, the ECB removed its easing bias on asset purchases but kept the end […]

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Retail Sales Miss Expectations

UK retail sales recorded their biggest quarterly fall in a year during the three months to March. We expected as much as the weather played a big part, keeping consumers at home. Retail sales volumes in March were 1.2 percent lower than the month before. For the first quarter, sales volumes dropped by 0.5 percent […]

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Sterling hits a 9 month high

Sterling has continued to gain against the euro, however, this could be affected next week when we have the UK wage data and employment figures released. We believe that wage growth including bonuses may slow slightly whereas the unemployment is expected to be up – both could have a negative impact on the pound. On […]

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Market Update – Dollar Struggles

Bank of England credit conditions survey may receive some attention today. Markets will be looking for signs of an impact from last November’s interest rate hike on the demand for or availability of credit. Tonight, BoE Governor Carney is talking in Canada, but unlikely we will get anything new regarding monetary policy from this. In […]

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UK Construction lower than expected

Sterling was on track for its fourth consecutive day of gains against the dollar on Wednesday as traders paused ahead of a survey of Britain’s construction sector. However, the construction data came in worse than expected at 47.0 compared to an expected 51. The pound did not lose ground on the back of this result […]

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Sterling recovers from recent losses

Yesterday the most volatile currency in the market was the pound, with GBPUSD dropping sharply before recovering, perhaps on the back of news that the UK will offer a resolution soon on the Irish border issue sooner rather than later. The euro consolidated gains on Wednesday after hitting a six-week high in the previous session […]

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Euro gains as dollar weakens

The euro rose to a new five-week high this morning, mainly due to dollar weakness prompting investors to put their money into the Eurozone. Global markets were shaken this month after U.S. President Donald Trump moved to impose tariffs on Chinese goods and Beijing threatened similar measures. Comments from Jens Weidmann, Germany’s likely candidate to […]

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