UK Pay Growth Slows


UK Pay Growth Slows

British workers’ pay growth has slowed to its weakest in six months despite record employment, challenging the Bank of England as it considers whether to raise interest rates next month for only the second time since the financial crisis. Average weekly earnings rose by 2.5 percent on the year in the three months to May, […]

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Focus on Mark Carney’s Speech

In Europe, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said UK PM May’s new Brexit proposal, after Friday’s Cabinet agreement meeting at Chequers, was a “solid step forward”. Today though, the market maybe more focused on BoE Governor Carney’s speech this afternoon in Boston, particularly with the August MPC meeting just over three weeks away. Speaking in Newcastle […]

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Industrial output and manufacturing data disappointed

Sterling rose from the day’s lows we reached yesterday afternoon though investors were wary of pushing it higher before data that may raise hopes of an interest rate hike in August and rising political uncertainty after the resignation of two top ministers. Boris Johnson followed Brexit minister David Davis in resigning in opposition to May’s […]

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70% chance of UK rate hike in August

In the UK, all eyes will be on Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s speech at 11:00 am in Newcastle. Following the recent run of upbeat UK economic data releases and BoE chief economist Andy Haldane’s surprise shift last month to support an immediate hike in interest rates, market expectations for an August rate hike […]

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UK Data Continues To Be Positive

The pound edged up this morning ahead of a survey on Britain’s dominant services sector which traders said could lift the currency after decent numbers from the manufacturing and construction sectors earlier this week. The Services Purchasing Managers’ Index was forecast to come in at 54 for June, in line with the previous month. The […]

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Pound drops to a 2 week low

Sterling has fallen as the dollar rebounded, the pound is on track for its biggest daily drop in nearly two weeks, as imminent Brexit talks and doubts the Bank of England will raise interest rates at all this year darkened the outlook for the pound. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney yesterday said that British […]

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Carney speaking this morning – Financial Stability

The pound fell versus the dollar and Euro over the last 24 hours after an incoming Bank of England policymaker expressed caution over Britain’s readiness for higher interest rates and uncertainty over the impact of Brexit on the economy. Sterling fell as much as half a percent as economics professor John Haskel, whose views are […]

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Sterling hits a 5 day high

Sterling rose to a five-day high after British retail sales jumped for the second month in a row in May and far outstripped expectations. Sterling is likely to gain this year and by the time Britain leaves the European Union next March will have recouped a chunk of its losses since the June 2016 decision […]

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Dollar strengthens ahead of Fed meeting

The dollar edged up across the board today ahead of a Federal Reserve policy announcement that investors will scan for clues on how many more U.S. rate hikes there will be this year. The Fed concludes its two-day policy meeting later on Wednesday and is widely expected to hike rates for the second time this […]

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UK data disappoints across the board

British factory output unexpectedly dropped in April at the fastest pace since 2012, due to weaker demand at home and abroad, raising concern that the economy’s weakness in early 2018 is persisting. The official data published today also showed the biggest trade deficit for goods since September 2016 after big falls in exports of aircraft, […]

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