UK GDP rises 0.1%


UK GDP rises 0.1%

Q1 Gross Domestic Product in the UK increased 0.1% in the second estimate, the Office for National Statistics announced this morning. This is unchanged from 0.1% quarter-to-quarter rise reported in the preliminary estimate. Comparing this to a year ago, the UK GDP increased 1.2% y/y, unchanged from the estimate. Within the structure on Q1 GDP, household […]

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UK Inflation data hurts the pound

Sterling slid yesterday to a new five-month low after weaker-than-expected UK inflation dented the prospect of the Bank of England raising interest rates this year. The pound had been one of the best-performing currencies in 2018 but it has given up all its gains for the year following a broad rally in the dollar and […]

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Dollar weakens after recent highs

Sterling rose on this morning against the dollar which weakened against other majors. Investors focused on economic data that could help the pound recover after the Bank of England last week held rates and cut its growth projections. The rally in the dollar lost momentum after tame U.S. inflation data tempered expectations for a faster […]

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Market Update

Today seems likely to be a quiet end to the week with no significant new economic data in either the Eurozone or the UK. Today’s second reading for April Spanish CPI inflation is expected to be unchanged from the initial reading. That would be consistent with no revision to the aggregate Eurozone measure due next […]

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Sterling continues to be volatile ahead of Thursday

GBP dropped off today as many investors have continued to off-load the pound ahead of the Bank of England meeting this Thursday when the central bank is expected to keep interest rates on hold, and as worries about Brexit negotiations resurface. Tensions within Britain’s governing Conservative party over how to agree terms of exit from […]

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Sterling continues poor run

Market probability of a rate hike from the Bank of England next week has dropped to less than a tenth from more than 90 percent a month ago. Weak survey data from Britain’s services sector for April rounded off a disappointing streak of economic figures starting with last week’s shock first quarter GDP data and […]

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UK Manufacturing hits a 17 month low in April

Banks have pushed out their predictions for when the Bank of England will raise interest rates after data last week showed a sharp and unexpected slowdown in Britain’s economic growth. Expectations the British central bank would raise borrowing costs in May had already weakened after Governor Mark Carney highlighted “mixed” economic data and noted there […]

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Sterling hits fresh lows against the dollar

Sterling dropped to its lowest since level since the middle of March, its sixth consecutive daily fall as investors are worried about the performance of the British economy. April has historically proved to be supportive for the pound because of a seasonal rise in capital inflows into Britain from foreign companies paying UK shareholders dividends. […]

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Retail Sales Miss Expectations

UK retail sales recorded their biggest quarterly fall in a year during the three months to March. We expected as much as the weather played a big part, keeping consumers at home. Retail sales volumes in March were 1.2 percent lower than the month before. For the first quarter, sales volumes dropped by 0.5 percent […]

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Sterling recovers from recent losses

Yesterday the most volatile currency in the market was the pound, with GBPUSD dropping sharply before recovering, perhaps on the back of news that the UK will offer a resolution soon on the Irish border issue sooner rather than later. The euro consolidated gains on Wednesday after hitting a six-week high in the previous session […]

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