Positive UK Data This Morning


Positive UK Data This Morning

Britain’s economy picked up some speed in the second quarter after a sharp winter slowdown earlier in the year but lost momentum in June, official data showed this morning. Gross domestic product expanded 0.4 percent in the April-June period, as expected in poll of economists. Britain’s economy slowed after the 2016 Brexit vote and is […]

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Sterling Weakness Continues

The likelihood Britain crashes out of the European Union without a trade deal has increased, an outcome that would hurt an already weak pound, according to economists and foreign exchange strategists. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said on Friday Britain faces an “uncomfortably high” risk of leaving the EU with no deal, while on […]

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UK Pay Growth Slows

British workers’ pay growth has slowed to its weakest in six months despite record employment, challenging the Bank of England as it considers whether to raise interest rates next month for only the second time since the financial crisis. Average weekly earnings rose by 2.5 percent on the year in the three months to May, […]

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Key Vote In Parliament Today

Following last week’s Brexit White Paper, the Customs Bill heads back to the House of Commons today. Several amendments to the bill have been tabled, including four by hard-Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg. Meanwhile, more pro-EU MPs have tabled an amendment aimed at keeping the UK in a customs union with the EU. Prime Minister Theresa May […]

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70% chance of UK rate hike in August

In the UK, all eyes will be on Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s speech at 11:00 am in Newcastle. Following the recent run of upbeat UK economic data releases and BoE chief economist Andy Haldane’s surprise shift last month to support an immediate hike in interest rates, market expectations for an August rate hike […]

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Dollar strengthens ahead of Fed meeting

The dollar edged up across the board today ahead of a Federal Reserve policy announcement that investors will scan for clues on how many more U.S. rate hikes there will be this year. The Fed concludes its two-day policy meeting later on Wednesday and is widely expected to hike rates for the second time this […]

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Brexit Meltdown hits the pound

Boris Johnson warned that there could be a Brexit meltdown, but it will be “all right in the end” and that U.S. President Trump would take a tougher stance were he leading the talks. Johnson’s comments were secretly recorded at a dinner on Wednesday evening and released on Thursday hours after ministers found a compromise […]

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Daily Update

Fed speakers continue to leave open the door to raising rates three more times this year if the data starts to accelerate. The US economy continues to perform well, although questions remain over Europe and the UK, which has been the main driver of the USD recently. It will, therefore, be interesting to hear whether […]

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All doom and gloom for Sterling

British Industrial growth slightly rose in March, therefore confirming a gloomy first quarter for the economy that pretty much confirms no Bank of England interest rate hike later today. The data, released along with figures for the construction industry and overseas trade, did nothing to alter the picture of an economy that has struggled for […]

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Sterling continues poor run

Market probability of a rate hike from the Bank of England next week has dropped to less than a tenth from more than 90 percent a month ago. Weak survey data from Britain’s services sector for April rounded off a disappointing streak of economic figures starting with last week’s shock first quarter GDP data and […]

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