UK Pay Growth Slows


UK Pay Growth Slows

British workers’ pay growth has slowed to its weakest in six months despite record employment, challenging the Bank of England as it considers whether to raise interest rates next month for only the second time since the financial crisis. Average weekly earnings rose by 2.5 percent on the year in the three months to May, […]

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Key Vote In Parliament Today

Following last week’s Brexit White Paper, the Customs Bill heads back to the House of Commons today. Several amendments to the bill have been tabled, including four by hard-Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg. Meanwhile, more pro-EU MPs have tabled an amendment aimed at keeping the UK in a customs union with the EU. Prime Minister Theresa May […]

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Focus on Mark Carney’s Speech

In Europe, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said UK PM May’s new Brexit proposal, after Friday’s Cabinet agreement meeting at Chequers, was a “solid step forward”. Today though, the market maybe more focused on BoE Governor Carney’s speech this afternoon in Boston, particularly with the August MPC meeting just over three weeks away. Speaking in Newcastle […]

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70% chance of UK rate hike in August

In the UK, all eyes will be on Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s speech at 11:00 am in Newcastle. Following the recent run of upbeat UK economic data releases and BoE chief economist Andy Haldane’s surprise shift last month to support an immediate hike in interest rates, market expectations for an August rate hike […]

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Carney speaking this morning – Financial Stability

The pound fell versus the dollar and Euro over the last 24 hours after an incoming Bank of England policymaker expressed caution over Britain’s readiness for higher interest rates and uncertainty over the impact of Brexit on the economy. Sterling fell as much as half a percent as economics professor John Haskel, whose views are […]

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UK Retail Sales jump in May

Sterling rose a quarter of a percent this morning before any data, cementing some modest gains notched up this week. British retail sales jumped for the second month in a row in May, far outstripping expectations as a royal wedding and warm weather helped shoppers put a winter slump further behind them, data showed this […]

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Market Update

Today has a light data calendar with nothing of note in the UK. We have no further UK releases for the rest of this week. However, it should be noted that there are several important releases next week, ahead of the Bank of England policy announcement on 21st June. These include industrial production and construction […]

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UK Construction picks up in May

Markets appear relieved that the Italian political situation has stabilised (at least for now), and do not seem overly concerned with escalating trade disputes. Italy’s new government will face a confidence vote in the two Houses today, which is expected to be an easy win. Following Friday’s stronger-than-expected manufacturing PMI, further insight into domestic activity […]

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Euro weakens due to Italy concerns

As the UK and the US return from their bank holiday, liquidity and European political worries dominate the agenda today. The USD remains a safe haven as Italian bond spreads continue to widen. The market will also be listening more closely to the many ECB speakers today to gauge their reaction and thoughts to escalating […]

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UK GDP rises 0.1%

Q1 Gross Domestic Product in the UK increased 0.1% in the second estimate, the Office for National Statistics announced this morning. This is unchanged from 0.1% quarter-to-quarter rise reported in the preliminary estimate. Comparing this to a year ago, the UK GDP increased 1.2% y/y, unchanged from the estimate. Within the structure on Q1 GDP, household […]

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