Sterling Weakness Continues


Sterling Weakness Continues

The likelihood Britain crashes out of the European Union without a trade deal has increased, an outcome that would hurt an already weak pound, according to economists and foreign exchange strategists. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said on Friday Britain faces an “uncomfortably high” risk of leaving the EU with no deal, while on […]

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UK Pay Growth Slows

British workers’ pay growth has slowed to its weakest in six months despite record employment, challenging the Bank of England as it considers whether to raise interest rates next month for only the second time since the financial crisis. Average weekly earnings rose by 2.5 percent on the year in the three months to May, […]

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Focus on Mark Carney’s Speech

In Europe, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said UK PM May’s new Brexit proposal, after Friday’s Cabinet agreement meeting at Chequers, was a “solid step forward”. Today though, the market maybe more focused on BoE Governor Carney’s speech this afternoon in Boston, particularly with the August MPC meeting just over three weeks away. Speaking in Newcastle […]

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Sterling continues poor run

Market probability of a rate hike from the Bank of England next week has dropped to less than a tenth from more than 90 percent a month ago. Weak survey data from Britain’s services sector for April rounded off a disappointing streak of economic figures starting with last week’s shock first quarter GDP data and […]

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Retail Sales Miss Expectations

UK retail sales recorded their biggest quarterly fall in a year during the three months to March. We expected as much as the weather played a big part, keeping consumers at home. Retail sales volumes in March were 1.2 percent lower than the month before. For the first quarter, sales volumes dropped by 0.5 percent […]

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Sterling hits a 9 month high

Sterling has continued to gain against the euro, however, this could be affected next week when we have the UK wage data and employment figures released. We believe that wage growth including bonuses may slow slightly whereas the unemployment is expected to be up – both could have a negative impact on the pound. On […]

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Pound gains across the board

Sterling was flat in a big week for the British currency with employment and inflation data due, followed by a crucial summit between European and British officials to secure a Brexit transition arrangement. The Pound to Euro exchange rate has gained today, in the aftermath of the Italian general election that resulted in a hung […]

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Sterling gains after budget update

The pound has gained this morning as the dollar was dumped by investors as data showed U.S. consumer price inflation in February cooled and President Donald Trump said he had fired U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson. British Finance Minister Philip Hammond gave his half-yearly economic update on the economy. Which was positive. Hammond upgraded […]

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UK Budget update today

UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond will give his Spring Budget update today. Traditionally a major set-piece event, its importance has now been downgraded. The main Budget statement now takes place in the autumn and it has been promised that this afternoon’s speech will not contain any major changes to tax or spending. Instead, […]

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No Deal

Sterling weakened against the Dollar yesterday on worries that Britain might not manage to clinch a transition deal with the European Union at a summit later this month. Even against a euro shaken by the cautious tone of the European Central Bank’s chief at a press conference after a policy meeting. ECB President Mario Draghi’s […]

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