UK GDP rises 0.1%


UK GDP rises 0.1%

Q1 Gross Domestic Product in the UK increased 0.1% in the second estimate, the Office for National Statistics announced this morning. This is unchanged from 0.1% quarter-to-quarter rise reported in the preliminary estimate. Comparing this to a year ago, the UK GDP increased 1.2% y/y, unchanged from the estimate. Within the structure on Q1 GDP, household […]

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Brexit negotiations resume today

Today’s UK data releases are the May Confederation of British Industry (CBI) industrial survey which will provide an update on manufacturing. That sector grew much more quickly than the economy as a whole last year, but activity seems to have slowed in early 2018. The deceleration may at least in part have been due to […]

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Employment Data Positive

British employers hired many more workers than expected in early 2018 but wage growth has yet to accelerate sharply, according to figures that leave the Bank of England still waiting for signs the economy is ready for a rise in interest rates. Employment rose by 197K during the first three months of this year, the […]

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Rate hike expected now in August

The Bank of England will wait until August before raising interest rates, according to polls taken over the last few days. We expected a rate rise this Thursday, but a massive turnaround after comments from BoE Governor Mark Carney, together with weak data suggesting Britain’s economy is barely growing. At the start of April, they […]

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UK GDP grows at weakest pace since 2012

Sterling fell to an eight-week low against the dollar on Friday after Britain’s economy slowed much more sharply than expected in the first three months of 2018. Sterling slumped 0.8 percent after Britain’s economy grew at its weakest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012, expanding by just 0.1 percent in Q1 2018. That figure […]

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Sterling hits fresh lows against the dollar

Sterling dropped to its lowest since level since the middle of March, its sixth consecutive daily fall as investors are worried about the performance of the British economy. April has historically proved to be supportive for the pound because of a seasonal rise in capital inflows into Britain from foreign companies paying UK shareholders dividends. […]

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UK Inflation drops unexpectedly

UK inflation dropped to a one year low, according to figures which now raise doubts about a rate rise in May and further rises going forward. There is still a 96% chance of a UK rate rise in May and we believe this is already priced into the markets. Official data showed annual consumer price […]

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Pound continues to out perform

The pound rose today despite Britain’s military intervention in Syria, as investors focused on data that could help shore up expectations of a May interest rate hike. Britain struck Syria with cruise missiles on Saturday in partnership with Western allies, targeting chemical weapons facilities. Sterling rose, continuing a two-week rally against the dollar that on […]

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McCafferty speech boosts Sterling

Sterling hit a two-week high today after a top policymaker said the Bank of England should not delay in raising interest rates after a recent strong pick-up in the world economy. Ian McCafferty, one of the two members of the nine-strong Monetary Policy Committee who voted for a rate rise last month, said in an […]

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Sterling starts the week on the up

Sterling rose against the euro and dollar this morning and is on track for a third consecutive day of gains as investors are encouraged by data showing British house prices rising more than expected in March. Since Britain signed a transition agreement last month to cover the 21-month period after it leaves the European Union, […]

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