
Sterling Faces Growing Budget Uncertainty
As we head into October, I think the biggest domestic risk facing Sterling over the next month is becoming fairly clear: the UK Budget on 28 October. The Pound has

Bailey Speech and Key US Data in Focus
The European session begins with German consumer confidence, Spanish GDP and Eurozone money supply and lending figures. These are unlikely to be major standalone market movers, but with the euro

Oil Prices Fall as U.S. and Iran Diplomatic Hopes Grow
Oil prices fell again this morning as signs of diplomatic progress between The U.S and Iran, combined with improving prospects of flows of oil weighed heavy on markets. Oil fell

UK Borrowing, European Confidence and US Jobs in Focus
Tuesday starts with UK public net borrowing, worth mentioning is that this reading exclude banks. It’s previous figure came in at -1.8B, forecast for today was that net borrowing will

Central Banks Tighten as Geopolitics Remains the Key FX Risk
Last week was probably one of the most important we have had for monetary policy in quite a while and, fortunately, the three major central-bank decisions did not deliver any

BoJ Turns Dovish as UK Retail Sales Rebound
Bank of Japan, BoJ, raised interest rates in the early morning session by 25 basis points to a base rate of 1.25%. This was in line with expectations of what

US Rate Hike Sets Focus on Bank of England Decision
The U.S last night raised their interest rates by 25-basis points as was widely expected, culminating in the first interest rate increase since July 2023 in a bid to control

UK Inflation Rises Above 3% as Rate Hike Expectations Grow
UK August Inflation figures were released this morning, climbing back above 3% with a sharp rise in fuel costs having contributed to the increase. When we compare the monthly inflation

UK Jobs Data in Focus as Markets Await Fed Decision
Tuesday commence with UK average earnings and unemployment rate. With inflation pressure for the UK, average earnings and unemployment levels will be of high importance for the UK economy, government

A Crucial Week Ahead for Global Interest Rates
Last week was a telling one for currency markets, with the ECB choosing to raise interest rates by 25 basis points and, perhaps more importantly, leaving the door open to

ECB Sets the Tone as Inflation and Energy Costs Rise
Yesterday ECB was out holding their interest rate decision. To no ones surprise they led the way and stay on par with expectations raising interest rates levels by 25 basis

Brent Crude prices reached near $102 per barrel as Iran are said to be prepared for a more intense war with The U.S. The latest escalation came after what has
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