24/06/2024 – Exchange Rates

  • Posted by currencies in Rate Alerts
  • June 24, 2024
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The major story last week was the Bank of England making it very clear that they are preparing for a rate cut in August, this caused Sterling rates to sell off a little on Thursday, the losses were then pared on Friday following positive retail sales out of the UK- which has levelled rates off again. As we enter the last week of June, the big story will be the UK election next week, it is worth now looking at what polls are predicting as that is what the market will be responding to until the result comes out, but currently many are pointing to a Labour majority.

This week we do not have much UK data of importance, so we will be looking at other releases to determine how the markets will perform this week- one major point to note is that we will see end-of-month and end-of-quarter flows from Thursday into Friday which will probably cause some volatility.
The main events to watch for this week are as follows;

  • Germany IFO Business climate (Monday)
  • Canada Inflation Rate (Tuesday)
  • U.S CB Consumer confidence (Tuesday)
  • EU Consumer Confidence (Wednesday)
  • US Durable Goods orders and GDP Growth rate (Thursday)
  • UK GDP Growth Rate (Friday)
  • U.S PCE Price index (Friday)

As you can see, for the UK, Friday’s GDP number will be the main event, so we expect to see the market move more from news than economic data this week.

GBP/EUR 1.1794 GBP/USD 1.2656 GBP/AED 4.6504
GBP/AUD 1.9030 GBP/CHF 1.1296 GBP/CAD 1.7310
GBP/NZD 2.0568  EUR/USD 1.0717 GBP/ZAR 22.868

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