Market Update

The US Dollar has remained near it’s recent two-month high with next week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision looming. The Central Bank is widely expected to pause its year-long interest rate hiking cycle, but expectations are increasing on the possibility that this pause will be temporary, with a potential rate hike in July still on the cards.

Markets are currently pricing a pause by The Federal Reserve next week at 77%, a fair jump from just a 36% possibility just over a week earlier. The increased possibility of a rate hike in July has mainly come from surprise rate increases from both The Bank of Canada and Reserve Bank of Australia, who both raised their respective rates by a further 0.25% due to what they labelled the current sticky nature of their inflation.

Key data coming up for The US is their inflation data for May, which is due out next Tuesday afternoon. Their inflation currently sits at 4.9% and any increase on this would more than likely cement another rate hike, whether it’s too late for next weeks meeting is up for debate but it would certainly bring the conversation to the table and no doubt cause some volatility to The Dollar.

The EUR is still hanging on to 1.07 against The Dollar at present, with ECB officials stating that future rate hikes maybe needed in order to bring their inflation under control. Dutch Central Bank chief Klass Knot stated yesterday that the current tightening is not sufficient and inflation could well remain too high for longer than initially anticipated.

Sticking with The Euro-Zone, their GDP figures are set to be released later this morning with forecasts predicting a slow in growth of the first quarter. Dropping from 1.8% to 1.2%, this could weigh on the ECB’s decision for their rate hike meeting next week.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

What's Going On?

Currencies 4 You Ltd is a company registered in England and Wales (registered no. 06866898). Registered office: Regus House Victory Way Admirals Park, Crossway, Dartford, Kent, DA2 6QD. Currencies 4 You Ltd Payment and for clients based in the United Kingdom and rest of the world, payment services for Currencies4you are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England and Wales No. 06323311. Registered Office: Stewardship Building 1st Floor, 12 Steward Street London E1 6FQ. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199).For clients based in the European Economic Area, payment services for Currencies4you are provided by CurrencyCloud B.V.. Registered in the Netherlands No. 72186178. Registered Office: Nieuwezijds Voorburgwal 296 - 298, Mindspace Nieuwezijds Office 001 Amsterdam. CurrencyCloud B.V. is authorised by the DNB under the Wet op het financieel toezicht to carry out the business of an electronic-money institution (Relation Number: R142701). For clients based in the United States, payment services for Currencies4you are provided by The Currency Cloud Inc. which operates in partnership with Community Federal Savings Bank (CFSB) to facilitate payments in all 50 states in the US. CFSB is registered with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC Certificate# 57129). The Currency Cloud Inc is registered with FinCEN and authorised in 39 states to transmit money (MSB Registration Number: 31000206794359). Registered Office: 104 5th Avenue, 20th Floor, New York, NY 10011. Payment Services are provided by Equals Connect Limited, registered in England and Wales (registered no. 07131446). Registered Office: Vintners’ Place, 68 Upper Thames St, London, EC4V 3BJ. Equals Connect Limited are authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority to provide payment services (FRN: 671508). Payment services for Currencies 4 You Ltd are provided by Sciopay Ltd. Sciopay Ltd is a company incorporated in England & Wales. Registration No: 12352935. Sciopay Ltd is licensed and regulated by HMRC as a Money Service Business (MSB). Licence No: XCML00000151326. Sciopay Ltd is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority as an Authorised Payment Institution. Firm Reference Number: 927951. Currencies 4 you's payment and foreign currency exchange services are provided by Global Currency Exchange Network Ltd T/A GC Partners. Global Currency Exchange Network Ltd is authorised by the FCA under the Payment Services Regulations, 2017 (FRN: 504346). Registered as a Money Services Business, regulated by HM Revenue & Customs ("HMRC") under the Money Laundering Regulations 2017. (Registration number is 12137189). Registered in England and Wales. Company number 04675786. Registered Office 3rd Floor 100 New Bond Street, London, England, W1S 1SP. | Terms and Conditions | Privacy Statement | Careers